Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2105.310151 2286.212885 2469.217012 2667.910694 2877.251123 3090.965699 3325.336649
2025-05-25 1785.657623 2054.163880 2336.087593 2652.958505 2997.980586 3361.110601 3771.016480
2025-06-01 1607.199130 1930.092738 2278.510548 2679.905728 3127.068613 3607.517428 4160.334005
2025-06-08 1441.654196 1799.028255 2194.049157 2658.919104 3186.888078 3763.947647 4438.365623
2025-06-15 1352.510643 1743.605675 2184.713876 2712.983734 3322.395234 3997.606577 4796.465622
2025-06-22 1252.310888 1666.311191 2142.411988 2722.107188 3400.642418 4161.923573 5072.709305
2025-06-29 1157.267297 1587.819304 2092.278076 2716.187605 3456.443825 4296.612790 5312.038806
2025-07-06 1037.492147 1471.469062 1990.191090 2642.395286 3427.190615 4328.518590 5429.155246
2025-07-13 1010.498345 1467.862443 2022.392050 2727.755583 3584.873304 4577.325950 5797.806820
2025-07-20 965.930538 1438.831880 2020.793441 2769.955251 3689.438127 4762.926043 6092.438564
2025-07-27 910.646419 1392.623304 1994.982307 2779.963671 3753.227704 4898.976572 6328.051864
2025-08-03 853.793721 1341.106061 1959.700813 2775.749288 3797.703718 5010.581911 6533.812503
2025-08-10 809.117480 1304.425066 1942.684339 2794.521130 3871.395834 5159.191621 6786.855210
2025-08-17 753.775511 1250.412669 1900.934478 2780.054655 3902.621404 5255.854996 6977.699157
2025-08-24 719.439965 1223.519427 1893.179938 2807.865394 3985.786189 5415.318508 7244.407449
2025-08-31 668.922678 1170.986118 1848.912596 2786.198930 4004.817517 5494.904841 7413.332761
2025-09-07 650.359672 1163.278465 1864.241330 2842.011737 4122.097687 5695.836430 7730.971533
2025-09-14 616.695123 1131.642446 1845.423108 2851.429094 4179.076855 5821.477870 7956.221004
2025-09-21 580.003510 1093.536694 1816.031688 2845.318854 4214.942122 5920.086715 8147.862028
2025-09-28 523.126514 1021.653201 1736.603595 2769.138552 4157.411920 5899.559464 8190.318017
2025-10-05 521.177873 1034.660603 1777.599082 2857.259289 4315.728938 6152.520250 8574.671031
2025-10-12 505.813919 1025.670261 1786.430737 2900.813408 4415.186943 6331.015587 8866.541547
2025-10-19 481.532350 1001.173068 1771.817165 2911.142090 4470.084954 6452.538932 9087.098139